AAL Research Papers
Research for consequential decisions.
In-depth papers on governance, technology and strategic risk. Evidence, assumptions and policy recommendations set out for scrutiny.
Original long-form research from Ascendancy Advisors Limited, with full references, clear limitations and practical proposals.
Latest research
Version 1.2 · October 2026
Artificial intelligence · Energy · Water · Infrastructure sovereignty
A comparative policy assessment of the electricity, water, land, grid, supply-chain and strategic-sovereignty implications of large-scale AI compute across the United States, China, Europe, Australia, Africa and Taiwan.
Guy Duport8 October 202627 pagesEN · FR · 中文
Frontier AI research update
Research Update No. 1 · October 2026
Artificial intelligence · Autonomous warfare · Nuclear security
Material developments since Final 2.0, including Project Agincourt, the proposed AutoWarCom, Army FASCOM, congressional governance tensions and the implications of increasingly autonomous military systems for strategic stability and meaningful human control.
Guy Duport6 October 202616 pagesEN · FR · 中文
Foundation paper
Final 2.0 · September 2026
Artificial intelligence · Governance · Nuclear security
The Final 2.0 foundation paper examines frontier AI governance, indirect and direct pathways to nuclear risk, human control, technical safeguards, verification limits and a proposed implementation framework.
Guy Duport20 September 202639 pages37 references
The research approach
Depth, evidence and accountable judgement.
01Traceable evidence
References are linked to their sources. Author analysis and proposed policy are distinguished from observed findings and existing obligations.
02Explicit limitations
Uncertainty, source limitations and the status of quantitative assumptions are disclosed. Peer-review status is stated for each paper.
03Practical application
Research connects its conclusions to implementation: responsibilities, assurance requirements and questions that remain unresolved.
About the series
A dedicated home for AAL research.